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Although Wissahickon had a warm-up for the Cambridgeshire on the all-weather at Chelmsford last year, which he won, there is no obvious trial race for the Cambridgeshire handicap. Trainers and owners will often plot their way towards Newmarket for several months with the idea of preserving their horses handicap mark, so it is advised to follow the ante-post market in the weeks before the race.
There are two jockeys who managed to win the Cambridgeshire four times during their careers, with Nat Flatman and George Fordham currently sitting on top with four wins each. Gosden will have every chance of going past that tally as a current handler with Halling , Pipedreamer , Tazeez and Wissahickon all past winners of the race for the legendary trainer. Who is the most iconic winner of the Cambridgeshire Handicap? Other than a slightly inferior return for horses drawn in the middle — stalls 12 to 17 — there is precious little to see there, positive or negative.
But those run styles, and the Early Position Figures which give rise to them, do tell their own story, and it is one that could prove highly relevant to how things unfold at the weekend. There are four confirmed front-runners in the field of 29, plus several others who can be expected to press matters if there is any slacking. Expect a Cambridgeshire that is strongly-run, or possibly very strongly-run, and for hold-up horses to get a look in.
That pace is distributed quite evenly, other than, perhaps, on the extreme flanks. Regarding age, three-year-olds have won more than twice as often as by chance but have unremarkable results in other respects and have fared quite poorly in terms of level-stakes each-way bets. Five-year-olds have done much better by that last measure while veterans have fared poorly.
Very lightly-raced runners in the season in question have done notably badly, as have those that finished out of the first six on their most recent starts. Horses with good chances on Timeform weight-adjusted ratings have won more than twice as often as by chance, placed nearly twice as often, beaten a handsome proportion of their rivals and failed only narrowly to show an each-way profit.
All of which is good. Having brought all the above, and a bit more besides, to mind, I came up with a couple against the field in what is a typically ultra-competitive affair. He has shaped well on each of his four starts this campaign, recording one of the best timefigures in the field when fourth from a poor draw at Goodwood in July, and might have got there a bit too soon when run down late on by Strait of Hormuz at Doncaster last time.
He looks a decent price, too. That run saw Balgair winning the Amateur Cambridgeshire at this course and distance a week ago by no less than six lengths, seeming suited by the early leaders going fast but returning a time that gives the performance plenty of substance.
Balgair is considered to have an average chance at best by the market, and that underestimates him. Whether to back the selections each way or win only is a matter of mathematics, unless there is a reason to think that one or other of them will be an all-or-nothing contender or the opposite , which is not the case.
The mathematics say it is better to back each way than win only in this instance, if not hugely so, though any enhanced place terms will make the distinction clearer. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. New users only. Awarded as 4 equal free bets total first deposit amount. Odds boosts: Odds boost crediting relies on marketing comms opt-in. Unlocked on deposit. Winnings credited in cash. Bet Slip. My Bet Slip -.
Rowleyfile Preview: Cambridgeshire Handicap. Url copied to clipboard. Flagged Up: Thursday 11 February View. Timeform Filter: Wednesday 10 February View. Stat Selector: Wednesday 10 February View. Flagged Up: Wednesday 10 February View. Four horses to watch out for this weekend View. Horse racing free bet offers. Read Coral Review. Read BetBull Review. T: Michael Attwater. NRs: 2.