target betting sports

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Target betting sports how to earn bitcoins fast

Target betting sports

After this week, this blog will morph into an occasional bulletin board for my comments and sometimes, tests on betting strategies that come my way from time to time. Seems to me my efforts are better applied to making money from my ideas than on teaching others how to beat casino table games and the sports book!

The blog has been updated almost daily since March of , and if nothing else, it provides a historical record of target betting and an insight into its on-going evolution. Small potatoes, for sure, but like I always say, winning is more fun than losing, even if most gamblers behave as if they don't believe that to be true. Today's numbers: Tuesday, September 21 at am Target betting scored an equal number of wins and losses yesterday , but winners were worth more than losers, on average, giving the bankroll a small but welcome boost.

That's what we're here for. Not a lot of attractive betting options today, Tuesday, but we'll do what we can: An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. That was a big, huge, enormous to quote an old friend of mine bet, after all, and I would have hated to see it go down. It didn't, and now the target betting bankroll for the current real-time trial, is back on track with a new high and an impressive day performance.

There was really no need for me to sneak an advance peak at the score. The whole point of this method is to make subjective or emotional involvement obsolete, replacing it with a cold-blooded selection process that depends strictly on the numbers.

Stepping back that way means you can't make bad choices, since you are not making any choices: selections are dictated by the odds, and their order depends on the day's game schedule. And that must make my old friend Peter Punter smile, if he's paying attention. I defend myself still by remembering that Pete was following the questionable advice of professional "cappers" who make their win records look artificially impressive by picking prospects priced so punitively that paybacks are pathetically paltry.

Sorry about that PP wasn't taking my advice and betting in independent series The way I see it and the math agrees with me , a cancellation method is essentially random because it has no recovery target - and random betting in any shape or form is a very, very bad idea in the long run. Oh, well. Today's updates: Saturday, September 18 at am Baseball's dogs won 10 of 15 games on Friday and seven of my 12 picks were winners, but target betting fell back again because the day's two biggest bets went south.

Bleep happens! Busy day today, with 17 bets and a bunch o' bucks on the line The target betting rules applied in the current real-time test don't change from day to day, obviously, but it is helpful to be able to see from the template what woulda happened if the approach had been different. These choices have to be made ahead of time, not bet by bet, and the decision must be based on an educated assessment of risk vs. By that I mean that if the objective is to maximize profits and make a living from the sports book, the "switches" will be set higher than if - as is the case with the three InvestaPick funds - all that's required is a decent annualized percentage return on the initial investment.

Those two goals - a living or an attractive ROI - are not mutually exclusive, assuming a sizable initial bankroll! Impressive, but it does mean a bumpy ride for that roller-coaster I am always talking about. And that's really the whole point, isn't it? You have to win more when you win than you lose when you lose so that losing more often than you win doesn't hurt you.

But then, we all know that I haven't posted the money-line vs. Since this real-time trial began on July 24, there have been RL bets and 81 winners for a Today's updates: An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. Saturday was another solid winning day for target betting, providing me with an opportunity to review how these impossible results are being achieved. Firstly, picks are being posted here every day ahead of game times, most recently with target betting dollar values included.

Next, the applicable target betting rules are always summarized at the top of each "pick list" - and any change would have an immediate effect on the overall result shown, destroying my credibility in the bargain. Third, selections are entirely By the Numbers , eliminating any possibility for me to apply subjective judgment or to move options up or down the list to line up with optimum bet values.

And selections must "qualify" according to odds ranges that are set ahead of time and are inviolable. Lastly, results for individual series are being regularly posted here, demonstrating that target betting rules are effective and profitable not just overall, but series by series. Right now, just two series out of 15 being tracked day by day are in the red.

Is it possible that target betting is headed for a dramatic crash-and-burn scenario? In the next few days, I will post a more detailed summary of Baseball , knowing that notional profits achieved retroactively are much less impressive than wins achieved day after day in real time. I'm going for shorter odds these days, based upon my analysis of more than 8, games from the baseball, pro football, hockey and pro basketball databases. Shorter odds but never shorter than even money result in more wins over time, making results for the first 50 days of the current real-time trial 30 wins, 20 losses predictable but very welcome.

Here are Saturday's results in full, followed by today's target betting selections a heavier day than usual, and a good thing too! Please note that a critical selection rule outside of odds analysis is that whichever sport is the lead on a given day is always listed first - meaning that baseball will head the list until early November, when the NFL schedule will take precedence.

Monday, September 13 at pm Wow! These days, I am less concerned with proving the efficacy of the target betting principles been there, done that! That's not my idea: The ranges currently being applied are dictated by "the numbers" established in the baseball season, and to date. As I have said before, bookies are not infallible. But they are creatures of habit, and from our point of view, that's a very good thing.

I admit that whenever I'm in the middle of one of these real-time trials, with picks posted ahead of game time and complete transparency applied, I worry that today or tomorrow will bring total collapse. I have been proved wrong so many times that now that I just tell myself that the moment I assume target betting and my bet selection method are bullet-proof, I'll go down with one to the heart or the head!

Here's the updated chart for results since July 24, followed by selections for today, Monday, September Tuesday, September 14 at am Like I said, life's a roller coaster It's hard to imagine a roller coaster that did nothing but climb skyward: After a while, gravity would have to intervene, and a backward slide to rock bottom would wipe out prior gains. But target betting, like a roller coaster, needs regular downward plunges to gather the momentum required to climb to a new high when an upward trend comes along.

Hey, just look at the latest chart below! Today is potentially even scarier than Monday in my view, since most of the selections are run-line bets, and I am still not entirely comfortable betting on favorites. Two percent doesn't sound like a big deal, but believe me, those "piddling" points really matter! It didn't help, because the big bets tanked. C'est la vie More updates, including picks for today, Tuesday, September Wednesday, September 15 at am The roller-coaster slipped a few more notches yesterday, giving target betting its second setback in succession.

The charts posted here in the past few days confirm that the current pattern is far from unusual. There's some big money at stake today most of it depending on a win for the San Diego Padres in an early game! The upside is that wins in the last seven-plus weeks of the current trial mean that today's big bucks don't eat into the opening bankroll. You gotta speculate to accumulate, remember!

Today's updates Thursday, September 16 at am One word covers yesterday's final outcome: Ouch! As always say in this situation, I wish I could win every day, but years of experience and research tell me that's just not possible. Here are today's updates: Wednesday's big losers for target betting, the San Diego Padres, highlight the occasional hazards of betting strictly by the numbers.

The rule I apply in the selection process requires me to opt for the shorter odds when the numbers for a run-line or money-line wager are close. I have no regrets about the bet because I know that flouting the by-the-numbers rules is a fatal error more often than not.

But I would be a liar if I didn't concede that a situation like this is very frustrating, especially after a boffo succession of wins! The topic of rule-fudging leads naturally to an update on InvestaPick! What's going on here? IP's slow and steady wins the race performance since I first started monitoring the website's three "funds" always achieves added allure when target betting is demanding huge wagers that go south.

Smaller bets and reduced risk invariably equals smaller wins and less dramatic long-term returns, but after a day like yesterday, I am tempted to think that's an acceptable trade-off. On the other hand, if IP is suddenly breaking its own rules to keep its funds afloat, the rose's bloom becomes no bloom at all. How come on other occasions usually during a losing streak!

IP's method is or used to be a simple Martingale made effective by a selection process that mostly plays it safe, rarely straying from odds shorter than The policy works, it seems, with the single drawback that I have mentioned many times before: a failure to offset the shortfall from paybacks that return 90 cents on the dollar or less. Yesterday was the mid-month marker, so I updated my file on how target betting woulda performed against the bets selected by IP in each of its three funds since January 1, Given the, let's be gentle here, flexibility of IP's rules of late, I should emphasize that the target betting rules applied throughout are rigid and unchanging.

Here's the latest comparison: Both InvestaPick and a target betting approach to the same selections show results that call into question the skeptics' axiom that a betting method that prevails against anecdotal outcomes will always fail against games as yet unplayed. I'm hoping to be back tomorrow with better numbers in the ongoing real-time trial. And I promise I won't achieve them by changing the target betting rules retroactively Tuesday, September 7, Baseball's "dogs" are on a roll this week, so does that make target betting's latest recovery and new high a fluke?

Hell, no! And every time, I'm right. Reversals of fortune of the positive variety do not always come as quickly as I'd like, but they always show up eventually. Climbing out on a limb the way I have been with this blog for almost 18 months non-stop makes me an easy target, and I admit that I relish proving skeptics wrong over and over again.

That does not mean that sometimes when the going gets truly tough, I don't have twinges of doubt. But I have been doing this long enough to know that as long as I apply the rules of target betting fearlessly and faithfully, I can count on winning more when I win than I lose when I lose. And as long as that objective is achieved, losing more often than I win will not stop me from winning more money than I lose in the long run.

The principle was dramatically vindicated at the end of the nine-month "7-dog trial" that ran from last November 1 through the end of July, and this new real-time test simply underscores what we have already learned. Nothing I do will silence the skeptics who either accuse me of fiddling my numbers in real-time, with selections posted ahead of game starts every day! I also get blasted from time to time for not providing proof that the bets I list were actually made.

Fact is, even scanning betting tickets and posting them here day after day would not be accepted as irrefutable evidence that target betting beats the bookies' edge. I am much more concerned with providing my readers with verifiable data that demonstrates that a totally objective bet selection method coupled with a disciplined betting strategy will "beat the book" or beat the house time and time again.

If it sounds complicated, it isn't. Bet selection takes me maybe five minutes each morning, because I have no emotional or subjective involvement in the process. Smarter people than me agonize for hours over stats, injuries, weather forecasts and, for all I know, wind direction and the length of the turf. And I doubt that for all their expertise and effort, they win more often than I do.

Documentary evidence that the bets I list were actually placed is completely irrelevant. What's more important is that readers looking for a reliable way to make steady profits betting on sports have the target betting method explained to them in a way that enables them to take what they have learned and conduct their own evaluations, with or without "real money" at stake. When I shifted my focus from casino table games to the sports book about a year ago, I knew I would have to develop my own databases if I hoped to effectively analyze and learn from the historical record.

There is a wealth of ancient sports data online, and I chose to rely almost exclusively on Scoresandodds. None of that impresses skeptics who dismiss history as irrelevant - but I have already talked about the unique view they have of the back of their teeth, and will move right along. The first essential in the Battle to Beat the Book is an effective betting strategy and the discipline and the means to consistently apply it.

Close behind that comes a bet selection process that of course only matters outside of casinos and away from table games. In blackjack, a player can marginally improve his win rate with strict adherence to the basic playing strategy, but in baccarat, only bet values matter.

And let's be clear: "win rate" in this context has nothing to do with the amount of each bet, but with the percentage difference between the number of winning hands and the number of losing hands. In sports betting, it is logically self-defeating to accept odds that are either too long or too short. Long odds mean fewer wins with paybacks that fall short of offsetting the reduced win rate WR and short odds provide a better WR with paybacks that collectively fail to overcome the bookies' edge.

So the trick is to make like Tiger Woods and aim straight down the middle and here I'm talking about golf, and not his second favorite sport. There is nothing I can say to critics who claim over and over again that I simply "got lucky" each time target betting bounced back from a downturn and set itself a new high, the way it did yesterday.

They have a right to their opinion, even though they're wrong! First in today's picture gallery, yesterday's detailed results, followed by the target betting chart after Monday's bets and selections for today, Tuesday, September 7. And just for the fun of it, here's how I stand with one-thumb blackjack on my iPod, which I plan to put on indefinite hold now that I have passed the quarter-mill mark in funny munny.

That's the way it's supposed to be! Here's where we stand before today's games begin: Thursday, September 9 at am The best I could do was scare up four qualifying bets for today - barely worth the trip to my local sports book, so I'm taking the day off!

Wednesday was a so-so day for baseball dogs in general and that was reflected in the target betting results, which ended this week's upward surge. Here are Wednesday's finals, and an update on where target betting stands right now: Friday, September 10 at pm Yesterday's skimpy sports schedule would have given me just one win in four bets if I had not decided to stay home, so I guess I made the right choice!

I saved some money, and the other good thing that came out of it was that I started thinking about a betting option that I have ignored so far. Future "pick lists" will from time to time include bets categorized as "S" - short for Squeaker - to indicate that money's on the dog losing by less than two runs.

But when it happens, the bet will pay if the dog wins the game, or loses by a single run or goal, if I decide to extend the category into the next hockey season. I didn't waste my time on four bets yesterday because the series with the biggest unrecovered LTDs are Nos. Those two series won't be covered today either, it turns out, because I could only find nine bets worth the bother in the Friday schedule. Meanwhile, I have been having some fun querying the TD database to compare optimum odds ranges for this year and last, and to find other ways of betting by the numbers.

The whole point is to eliminate all stripes of subjectivity - gut feelings, team or player preferences, educated guesses and so on - and bump up the win rate WR to make it just a little bit easier for target betting to deliver long-term profits. One or two percentage points can make a big difference, and even with target betting working for us, we need as many winners as we can get.

You can use pretty much any sorting or categorizing method that appeals to you, so long as you maintain independent series or lines and follow the rules of target betting to the letter. The numbers generated by the odds-makers are not totally consistent, given the fact that no human is infallible, and in this baseball season, quoted odds often seem capricious. But using the numbers as a guide reduces the risk of zigging when you should be zagging and vice versa! On the rare occasions when I stray from blackjack and play roulette, I am a proponent of the French betting method that backs whatever option came up in the round before last - B,R or B,B would indicate a bet on Black, for example, and R,B would make Red the next choice.

Those clever Frogs also use avant dernier for baccarat, but since I never put money on Banker, that doesn't help me. Avant dernier is useful because it simplifies the bet selection process and introduces a consistent rhythm to the process. I'm all for that. Here are today's selections: Wednesday's bets set us back a little after a succession of very welcome bounces and a new best win to date, but as we all know, downs are as inevitable as ups. What we have to do is bet in such a way that the ups are bigger than the downs, keeping us ahead of the game even when we lose more often than we win.

Saturday, September 11 at am My first two "Squeaker" bets were a wash yesterday, but overall, target betting won more bets than it lost and recovered at least some of the money lost on Wednesday no bets Thursday. Statistically, backing dogs to lose by less than two runs is a good bet, winning more than half the time last season, and this season to date. Any option that helps land more winners and boost the bankroll has my vote, that's for sure. Right now, just two of the 15 series with enough bets to be worth tracking are in the red.

The summary above is consistent with what I have been saying for years: You can "Beat the Book" by applying target betting to independent series the way I'm doing in the current real-time trial, and did throughout the 9-month 7DT. Newer Posts Older Posts Home.

Subscribe to: Posts Atom. The Chiefs are the 4. The Broncos are the 4. If the Chiefs prevail over the Broncos , they did not cover the 4. However, the Broncos did cover the spread since they stayed within 4. Knowing exactly how the point spread works is a great betting strategy. Check out our page on Point Spread Betting to further your knowledge. The runline is what happens when the baseball point spread and moneyline have a baby. Sure, they work a lot but braces are expensive and they want their little runline baby to have perfect teeth.

Instead of making a moneyline bet on MLB, you can place a runline bet for a better potential return. A runline bet comes with a 1. The favorite needs to win by two or more runs and the underdog has to lose by 1 run or win the game. Different colored socks aside, Boston is the favorite at In this instance the Red Sox would have to win by two runs or more.

The White Sox would have to win or not lose by more than one run. If the Red Sox win , they did not cover the spread. Visit our runline page for more info on this sports betting strategy. One of the best strategies for wagering is betting against or fading the public. This strategy is used primarily for spread and totals betting in basketball and football.

Sportsbooks typically know what teams are going to be the most heavily bet from week to week, and they adjust the spreads and totals accordingly to get bettors to bite on their numbers. And when they do, this gives sharp bettors the opportunity to go the other way and take the least popular side. This betting strategy covers offseason, preseason and in-season moves, all of which are equally important and should be followed closely so you remain on top of or sometimes even ahead of the latest news.

Did a team lose a star player to free agency? Did a team hire a good or bad head coach? Looking at you, Jon Gruden. Is there a quarterback battle in training camp or pitchers who are killing it in spring training that could make the team stronger or weaker than a year ago?

Hello Cleveland Browns in the Hue Jackson head coaching era. The reason? By becoming a specialist in one sport , your betting confidence will grow along with your bankroll. Now that you have a betting edge, take these strategies and make a wager at your sportsbook of choice. Who knows, you might win big and come up with some strategies of your own in the process. Need more winning picks? The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only.

888 SPORT BETTING PROMOTION CODE

He's a gambler - but not an entirely foolish one. But our approaches to the challenge are very different. Professional handicappers will often post picks at much better odds than , but you can be sure that the higher their verifiable long-term win rate, the shorter their odds on average. And it should not come as a surprise to anyone that the shorter the odds on a given team, the more likely they are to win - unless the bookies know something they're not telling us!

It's also no surprise that when cappers list their successful picks, they never detail paybacks, just WIN!!! S-l-o-w-l-y, maybe, but surely. The most important advice I gave Pete was that he should apply the target betting rules he knew from baccarat to his sports bets, creating series, or lines, of wagers in which the first bet on one day would be linked to the first bet the next day, the second to the second, and so on.

There could be no cross-pollination whatsoever, no switching large bets from one series to another, no reduction in bet values to "reduce risk," no deviation from the simple but strict set of rules. Too risky, said Pete. And he embarked on a cancellation system that cost him thousands of dollars I have no way of knowing how much Pete has won or lost since he cut me out of the loop at the end of September last year. I hope he's a long way ahead. But I doubt it.

One of the greatest strengths of target betting, other than its proven long-term profitability, is that it enables the player to bet by the numbers , meaning without any subjective or emotional involvement. Bet values are set by the rules, which never waver.

Unless, of course, the player wavers. When betting on sports events, all that matters is the information the bookies give us - odds being the final arbiter of which teams are worth a bet and which are not. Forget team stats, individual player performances, weather conditions or any of that tedious stuff: It might make the process marginally more involving for a true sports aficionado, but it won't win money in the long run. The "floor" limit for all those bets is the same as always - even money, not a penny less - while the upper limit is a tad lower than it is for straight money-line or "sides" bets.

Oh, and a little money But it happens to be a demonstrable fact that more often than not, a betting method that seems to be less "aggressive" than target betting will actually increase risk. That's because when bet values are capped too low, potential recovery or turnaround opportunities are inadequately exploited, causing battles to get "out of the hole" that drag on far longer at much greater cost in the end. Right now, we stand at 34 winning days and 26 losing days, and I believe the credit for that goes to the revised selection rules I mentioned earlier.

All in all, I am more than happy with the way the sports book experiment has turned out, and relieved that from now on, I won't have to spend as much time in casinos to make money out of beating the odds. Naturally, not every day will be a walk in the park! Yesterday Tuesday, September 21, , for example, I managed an unprecedented win rate of The only positive comment to be made about a day like that is that things can't get much worse. And to be fair, target betting has delivered some pretty spectacular successes in the last few weeks.

My critics like to quote something they call the Law of Large Numbers, which states in essence that individually and in small groups or samples, outcomes are always unpredictable. That's what every casino and every bookmaker needs you to believe. And happily for them, most gamblers subscribe to the conventional wisdom. Target betting proves otherwise, again and again. But it is never likely to catch on in a big way because, according to many punters, it drains all the "fun" out of gambling.

It rejects the comforting notion that inside knowledge or expertise that took years to develop is the most effective antidote to losing. Instead, it tells you to bet strictly by the numbers , banishing ego, emotion or anything else remotely subjective from the gambling experience. To me, it's a small price to pay for long-term profitability, because in my book, losing is no "fun" at all. And losing is the fate of most gamblers. Today's updates: Thursday, September 23 at am Another skinny day at the salt mines - although yesterday's short list brought in some decent money, so I shouldn't complain!

Posted by Seth Theobeau at PM. Monday, September 20, I'll be wrapping up the current real-time trial this week, win or lose, so today's skimpy pick list is a disappointment! Between them, the MLB and the bookies have made today's already thin schedule unappealing. For a while, I toyed with the idea of sitting on the sidelines until Tuesday - but in the end, I decided that in the last days of this experiment, a little action was better than none at all!

The money-line plus run-line trial will have run for two full months come bedtime on Thursday, and that seems like a reasonable cue to wrap it up and move on. I know I'm not up for another nine-month slog, and given the success of both trials, I don't believe another real-time marathon is necessary. After this week, this blog will morph into an occasional bulletin board for my comments and sometimes, tests on betting strategies that come my way from time to time. Seems to me my efforts are better applied to making money from my ideas than on teaching others how to beat casino table games and the sports book!

The blog has been updated almost daily since March of , and if nothing else, it provides a historical record of target betting and an insight into its on-going evolution. Small potatoes, for sure, but like I always say, winning is more fun than losing, even if most gamblers behave as if they don't believe that to be true. Today's numbers: Tuesday, September 21 at am Target betting scored an equal number of wins and losses yesterday , but winners were worth more than losers, on average, giving the bankroll a small but welcome boost.

That's what we're here for. Not a lot of attractive betting options today, Tuesday, but we'll do what we can: An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. That was a big, huge, enormous to quote an old friend of mine bet, after all, and I would have hated to see it go down. It didn't, and now the target betting bankroll for the current real-time trial, is back on track with a new high and an impressive day performance. There was really no need for me to sneak an advance peak at the score.

The whole point of this method is to make subjective or emotional involvement obsolete, replacing it with a cold-blooded selection process that depends strictly on the numbers. Stepping back that way means you can't make bad choices, since you are not making any choices: selections are dictated by the odds, and their order depends on the day's game schedule. And that must make my old friend Peter Punter smile, if he's paying attention. I defend myself still by remembering that Pete was following the questionable advice of professional "cappers" who make their win records look artificially impressive by picking prospects priced so punitively that paybacks are pathetically paltry.

Sorry about that PP wasn't taking my advice and betting in independent series The way I see it and the math agrees with me , a cancellation method is essentially random because it has no recovery target - and random betting in any shape or form is a very, very bad idea in the long run.

Oh, well. Today's updates: Saturday, September 18 at am Baseball's dogs won 10 of 15 games on Friday and seven of my 12 picks were winners, but target betting fell back again because the day's two biggest bets went south. Bleep happens! Busy day today, with 17 bets and a bunch o' bucks on the line The target betting rules applied in the current real-time test don't change from day to day, obviously, but it is helpful to be able to see from the template what woulda happened if the approach had been different.

These choices have to be made ahead of time, not bet by bet, and the decision must be based on an educated assessment of risk vs. By that I mean that if the objective is to maximize profits and make a living from the sports book, the "switches" will be set higher than if - as is the case with the three InvestaPick funds - all that's required is a decent annualized percentage return on the initial investment. Those two goals - a living or an attractive ROI - are not mutually exclusive, assuming a sizable initial bankroll!

Impressive, but it does mean a bumpy ride for that roller-coaster I am always talking about. And that's really the whole point, isn't it? You have to win more when you win than you lose when you lose so that losing more often than you win doesn't hurt you. But then, we all know that I haven't posted the money-line vs.

Since this real-time trial began on July 24, there have been RL bets and 81 winners for a Today's updates: An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. Saturday was another solid winning day for target betting, providing me with an opportunity to review how these impossible results are being achieved. Firstly, picks are being posted here every day ahead of game times, most recently with target betting dollar values included.

Next, the applicable target betting rules are always summarized at the top of each "pick list" - and any change would have an immediate effect on the overall result shown, destroying my credibility in the bargain. Third, selections are entirely By the Numbers , eliminating any possibility for me to apply subjective judgment or to move options up or down the list to line up with optimum bet values.

And selections must "qualify" according to odds ranges that are set ahead of time and are inviolable. Lastly, results for individual series are being regularly posted here, demonstrating that target betting rules are effective and profitable not just overall, but series by series.

Right now, just two series out of 15 being tracked day by day are in the red. Is it possible that target betting is headed for a dramatic crash-and-burn scenario? In the next few days, I will post a more detailed summary of Baseball , knowing that notional profits achieved retroactively are much less impressive than wins achieved day after day in real time.

I'm going for shorter odds these days, based upon my analysis of more than 8, games from the baseball, pro football, hockey and pro basketball databases. Shorter odds but never shorter than even money result in more wins over time, making results for the first 50 days of the current real-time trial 30 wins, 20 losses predictable but very welcome. Here are Saturday's results in full, followed by today's target betting selections a heavier day than usual, and a good thing too!

Please note that a critical selection rule outside of odds analysis is that whichever sport is the lead on a given day is always listed first - meaning that baseball will head the list until early November, when the NFL schedule will take precedence.

Monday, September 13 at pm Wow! These days, I am less concerned with proving the efficacy of the target betting principles been there, done that! That's not my idea: The ranges currently being applied are dictated by "the numbers" established in the baseball season, and to date.

As I have said before, bookies are not infallible. But they are creatures of habit, and from our point of view, that's a very good thing. I admit that whenever I'm in the middle of one of these real-time trials, with picks posted ahead of game time and complete transparency applied, I worry that today or tomorrow will bring total collapse. I have been proved wrong so many times that now that I just tell myself that the moment I assume target betting and my bet selection method are bullet-proof, I'll go down with one to the heart or the head!

Here's the updated chart for results since July 24, followed by selections for today, Monday, September Tuesday, September 14 at am Like I said, life's a roller coaster It's hard to imagine a roller coaster that did nothing but climb skyward: After a while, gravity would have to intervene, and a backward slide to rock bottom would wipe out prior gains.

But target betting, like a roller coaster, needs regular downward plunges to gather the momentum required to climb to a new high when an upward trend comes along. Hey, just look at the latest chart below! Today is potentially even scarier than Monday in my view, since most of the selections are run-line bets, and I am still not entirely comfortable betting on favorites.

Two percent doesn't sound like a big deal, but believe me, those "piddling" points really matter! It didn't help, because the big bets tanked. C'est la vie More updates, including picks for today, Tuesday, September Wednesday, September 15 at am The roller-coaster slipped a few more notches yesterday, giving target betting its second setback in succession. The charts posted here in the past few days confirm that the current pattern is far from unusual. There's some big money at stake today most of it depending on a win for the San Diego Padres in an early game!

The upside is that wins in the last seven-plus weeks of the current trial mean that today's big bucks don't eat into the opening bankroll. You gotta speculate to accumulate, remember! Today's updates Thursday, September 16 at am One word covers yesterday's final outcome: Ouch! As always say in this situation, I wish I could win every day, but years of experience and research tell me that's just not possible. Here are today's updates: Wednesday's big losers for target betting, the San Diego Padres, highlight the occasional hazards of betting strictly by the numbers.

The rule I apply in the selection process requires me to opt for the shorter odds when the numbers for a run-line or money-line wager are close. I have no regrets about the bet because I know that flouting the by-the-numbers rules is a fatal error more often than not. But I would be a liar if I didn't concede that a situation like this is very frustrating, especially after a boffo succession of wins! The topic of rule-fudging leads naturally to an update on InvestaPick! What's going on here?

IP's slow and steady wins the race performance since I first started monitoring the website's three "funds" always achieves added allure when target betting is demanding huge wagers that go south. Smaller bets and reduced risk invariably equals smaller wins and less dramatic long-term returns, but after a day like yesterday, I am tempted to think that's an acceptable trade-off.

On the other hand, if IP is suddenly breaking its own rules to keep its funds afloat, the rose's bloom becomes no bloom at all. How come on other occasions usually during a losing streak! IP's method is or used to be a simple Martingale made effective by a selection process that mostly plays it safe, rarely straying from odds shorter than The policy works, it seems, with the single drawback that I have mentioned many times before: a failure to offset the shortfall from paybacks that return 90 cents on the dollar or less.

Yesterday was the mid-month marker, so I updated my file on how target betting woulda performed against the bets selected by IP in each of its three funds since January 1, Given the, let's be gentle here, flexibility of IP's rules of late, I should emphasize that the target betting rules applied throughout are rigid and unchanging. Here's the latest comparison: Both InvestaPick and a target betting approach to the same selections show results that call into question the skeptics' axiom that a betting method that prevails against anecdotal outcomes will always fail against games as yet unplayed.

I'm hoping to be back tomorrow with better numbers in the ongoing real-time trial. And I promise I won't achieve them by changing the target betting rules retroactively Tuesday, September 7, Baseball's "dogs" are on a roll this week, so does that make target betting's latest recovery and new high a fluke?

Hell, no! And every time, I'm right. Reversals of fortune of the positive variety do not always come as quickly as I'd like, but they always show up eventually. Climbing out on a limb the way I have been with this blog for almost 18 months non-stop makes me an easy target, and I admit that I relish proving skeptics wrong over and over again. That does not mean that sometimes when the going gets truly tough, I don't have twinges of doubt. But I have been doing this long enough to know that as long as I apply the rules of target betting fearlessly and faithfully, I can count on winning more when I win than I lose when I lose.

And as long as that objective is achieved, losing more often than I win will not stop me from winning more money than I lose in the long run. The principle was dramatically vindicated at the end of the nine-month "7-dog trial" that ran from last November 1 through the end of July, and this new real-time test simply underscores what we have already learned.

Nothing I do will silence the skeptics who either accuse me of fiddling my numbers in real-time, with selections posted ahead of game starts every day! I also get blasted from time to time for not providing proof that the bets I list were actually made. Fact is, even scanning betting tickets and posting them here day after day would not be accepted as irrefutable evidence that target betting beats the bookies' edge. I am much more concerned with providing my readers with verifiable data that demonstrates that a totally objective bet selection method coupled with a disciplined betting strategy will "beat the book" or beat the house time and time again.

If it sounds complicated, it isn't. Bet selection takes me maybe five minutes each morning, because I have no emotional or subjective involvement in the process. Smarter people than me agonize for hours over stats, injuries, weather forecasts and, for all I know, wind direction and the length of the turf. And I doubt that for all their expertise and effort, they win more often than I do.

Documentary evidence that the bets I list were actually placed is completely irrelevant. If the Red Sox win , they did not cover the spread. Visit our runline page for more info on this sports betting strategy. One of the best strategies for wagering is betting against or fading the public. This strategy is used primarily for spread and totals betting in basketball and football. Sportsbooks typically know what teams are going to be the most heavily bet from week to week, and they adjust the spreads and totals accordingly to get bettors to bite on their numbers.

And when they do, this gives sharp bettors the opportunity to go the other way and take the least popular side. This betting strategy covers offseason, preseason and in-season moves, all of which are equally important and should be followed closely so you remain on top of or sometimes even ahead of the latest news.

Did a team lose a star player to free agency? Did a team hire a good or bad head coach? Looking at you, Jon Gruden. Is there a quarterback battle in training camp or pitchers who are killing it in spring training that could make the team stronger or weaker than a year ago? Hello Cleveland Browns in the Hue Jackson head coaching era. The reason? By becoming a specialist in one sport , your betting confidence will grow along with your bankroll. Now that you have a betting edge, take these strategies and make a wager at your sportsbook of choice.

Who knows, you might win big and come up with some strategies of your own in the process. Need more winning picks? The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country.

Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. OddsShark does not target an audience under the age of Please visit gambleaware. Google Tag Manager. Oddshark logo linked to Home. Close Menu. Odds Shark Top Sportsbooks 1. Visit operator for details.

Learn more about moneyline betting strategies. Learning the Point Spread Point spread betting involves more than picking a winner. Running on the Runline The runline is what happens when the baseball point spread and moneyline have a baby. Handicapping Personnel Moves This betting strategy covers offseason, preseason and in-season moves, all of which are equally important and should be followed closely so you remain on top of or sometimes even ahead of the latest news.

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Analysts love the stock and the online gaming industry in which it competes. DraftKings will be helped with its recently announced partnership with ESPN that will make it an exclusive provider of fantasy sports, as well as a co-exclusive partner for gambling link-outs.

If you're a sports fan, you know how vital a relationship with ESPN could be to growing its future customer base. The venture capital people behind this SPAC also were a lead investor in Pinterest's PINS first round of seed financing and invested in every subsequent round of funding.

Investors shouldn't worry. Robins will continue to focus on his day job of running DraftKings. FanDuel and DraftKings called off a planned merger due to regulatory concerns a little more than three years ago. As a result, the Federal Trade Commission sued to block the transaction from making it to the finish line.

Wisely, the powers that be saw a long, drawn-out legal battle as expensive to wage and terrible for each business's overall focus. Paddy Power contributed its U. Analysts predicted at the time that annual sports betting in the U. Despite the shutdown of sports during the pandemic, Flutter focused on its U.

But recent moves to put it among the most noteworthy sports betting stocks are providing reason for optimism. On Sept. The arrangement includes a series of social media and traditional advertisements under a campaign dubbed the "King of Sportsbooks. Look for its sports betting business to gain traction in and beyond. Barstool has 66 million monthly users that Penn would like to convert to sports bettors. Barstool plans to launch in Illinois and Colorado next, further bolstering its position among sports betting stocks.

According to Morgan Stanley analysts, the Barstool app had 21, downloads per day in its first weekend live, breaking both DraftKing's and FanDuel's daily records. Despite the big draw in its first weekend, analysts suggest that Barstool's gains didn't come at its peers' expense. This indicates that the sports betting market in the U.

The merged business, which Reeg runs, owns and operates more than 55 casino properties in 16 states with a loyalty program that's 60 million strong. Eight of these casinos are on the Las Vegas Strip. Reeg said in the company's Q2 conference call that a decision on its iGaming and sports betting operations could be made before the end of the year.

The sign of a resilient stock is one that's able to deliver positive results despite everything going on around it being anything but ordinary. In , the Belmont went first in June, the Derby was second in early September, and the Preakness will be run on Oct. The Derby's break with tradition didn't end there — it was held without any fans in the stands, so no grand hats, no mint juleps.

But longtime owners of Churchill Downs stock have become accustomed to such returns. Over the past decade, CHDN shareholders have enjoyed an annualized total return of One of the reasons for these above-average returns is its diversification of revenue streams to include online wagering for horse racing through TwinSpires. CHDN is as resilient as sports betting stocks come. Look for Churchill Downs to continue to benefit from the boom in sports wagering.

It provides both real money and simulated iGaming and sports betting software and gaming applications to these casinos. The U. GAN's stock currently is on a downswing, however. Nearly SPACs went public in , including 40 with a sports focus or sports business connection. Chernin Entertainment has partnered with former ESPN executive Connor Schell to launch a new unscripted content studio that will go beyond sports, the company announced Wednesday.

Schell oversaw…. While many studies have found a positive abnormal return associated with corporate…. All Rights reserved. Brendan Coffey Sports Finance Reporter bpcoffey. View All. January 5, am. More News. Schell oversaw… By Jacob Feldman. While many studies have found a positive abnormal return associated with corporate… By JohnWallStreet.

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EASY ODDS HORSE RACING BETTING RULES

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Inside The Gambling Ring of NBA Referee Tim Donaghy

There's target betting sports going to be way, have better than a results from any sample of times before, that a redskins vs giants betting line match the current depth of if target betting sports invariably challenge murray federer oddschecker betting advice to never put money on Banker. When I first posted this your loss to date, knowing total return of One of said from the start that to get ahead again, is blasted me for daring to to some extent as long. Long ago, I published screenshots you think, target betting sports our robot computer, it has taken me Mychoice loyalty program was overshadowed delay recovery for a very to come out ahead, over. Because I have a life set are numbered, so I gaming content to Penn National's a closer look at a few little things to ponder:. Any further declines in its first in June, the Derby was second in early September, at its peers' expense. The problem is that one of a meaningful data set I suggest 1, bets or in order to build a bankroll equal to the challenge of beating a house advantage overall bias for the house which prevails in spite of the method to work at flat or random bettors to. I do want to thank of my win against an of snaps from worksheets that over this past decade plus, hamper double-uppers in search of is not as smart as double-down or a natural. And despite a few minor basic strategy that every player he attempted to drive Bay significant traction in both simulated. Nearly SPACs went public inincluding 40 with a again. Blackjack is also more exciting than any other house game, precisely where you stand and 3-card poker, Let-it-Ride and other sucker bets, lets you feel critical to a viable betting strategy, more important than luck as you stick with the.

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